Cynefin is a framework for making sense of the world and its problems; for understanding where outcomes are predictable, where they might emerge in time, and where urgent action is required. In Cynefin's complex domain, problems defy analysis and cause and effect can't be correlated. We're used to the idea that we make discoveries as we progress... but how can we usefully plan for those discoveries? What can we do to reduce the risk of the biggest impacts? And where are they likely to happen?
In this talk, we look at thinking tools and philosophies which help us to navigate uncertainty, including Real Options, Deliberate Discovery, the Shallow Dive into Chaos, and the art of really good Experiment Design.